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 Post subject: Hurricane Dolly and Tulsa Heat
PostPosted: Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:07 pm 
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Joined: Sun Apr 06, 2008 7:42 pm
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Location: Tulsa, OK
Tulsa remains under a heat advisory. Heat index to 105 degrees is forecast.

------------------------------------

Here's the latest on Hurricane Dolly

WTNT34 KNHC 231658
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
1200 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...DOLLY HESITATES...EYEWALL OF DOLLY CROSSING SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO
AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS
CHRISTI TO PORT O'CONNOR.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM LA
PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1200 PM CDT...1700Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.0 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...
60 KM...NORTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY HAS BEEN MEANDERING FOR THE PAST HOUR OR SO BUT IT SHOULD
BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR SOON.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY WILL BE CROSSING
THE COAST ALONG THE SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST IN A COUPLE OF HOURS.
PERSONS ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE OUTDOORS DURING THE RELATIVE
CALM OF THE EYE BECAUSE WINDS WILL SOON INCREASE QUITE RAPIDLY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE
LIKELY ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH
IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL WITH A GRADUAL WEAKENING THEREAFTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM. PORT ISABEL AIRPORT JUST MEASURED 58 MPH...92 KM/HR
SUSTAINED WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH...113 KM/HR.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE WAS IS 967 MB...28.56 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE
RAINS WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 1200 PM CDT POSITION...26.2 N...97.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

WWWW

_________________
Tim
Tulsa, OK


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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Dolly and Tulsa Heat
PostPosted: Wed Jul 23, 2008 1:33 pm 
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Joined: Sun Apr 06, 2008 7:42 pm
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Location: Tulsa, OK
Tulsa Now under a Excessive Heat Warning until 7PM this evening. Might want to wait until fall to mow the lawn. :)

Here's what they're saying:

HEAT INDEX VALUES OF AROUND 1O5 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS
TEMPERATURES SOAR INTO THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100 DEGREES. THESE
TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH THE HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL
CREATE THE HEAT INDEX VALUES OF AROUND 105 DEGREES.

_________________
Tim
Tulsa, OK


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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Dolly and Tulsa Heat
PostPosted: Wed Jul 23, 2008 1:40 pm 
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Joined: Sun Apr 06, 2008 7:42 pm
Posts: 61
Location: Tulsa, OK
Tornado watch for some counties in Texas.

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 735...

VALID 231828Z - 232030Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 735 CONTINUES.

AS HURRICANE EYE CONTINUES TO CROSS SRN PORTIONS PADRE ISLAND AND
LAGUNA MADRE...THEN MOVE OVER MAINLAND...TWO PROCESSES WILL RESHAPE
PRIMARY TORNADO THREAT AREA WITHIN WW...

1. NERN QUADRANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE ENVELOPE WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD FARTHER WWD AND INLAND WITH TIME...RESULTING IN ENLARGED 0-1
KM HODOGRAPHS...AND POTENTIAL FOR QUICK MESOCYCLONE INTENSIFICATION
AND TORNADOES WITH ANY RELATIVELY DISCRETE/SUSTAINED CELLS. MOST
PROBABLE AREA WILL BE WITH MIDDLE-OUTER SPIRAL BANDS INITIALLY
EVIDENT BETWEEN CRP AREA AND PSX AND EXTENDING ESEWD OVER GULF.
INDIVIDUAL SUPERCELLS SHOULD MOVE NWWD THEN WWD...WEAKENING AS THEY
MOVE TO POSITIONS NNW AND NW OF CENTER. WITH TIME...MESOCYCLONES
SHOULD SURVIVE SLIGHTLY FARTHER INLAND...IN STEP WITH WWD COMPONENT
OF MOTION OF EYE TO THE S AND RELATED SHIFT IN OVERALL WIND FIELDS.
ALSO...NARROW CORRIDORS OF CLEARING IN BETWEEN BANDS MAY BOOST SFC
TEMPS A FEW DEG F...RAISING MLCAPE TO AROUND 500 J/KG IN INFLOW AIR
MASS. TORNADO POTENTIAL BECOMES VERY MRGL N OF ROUGHLY I-10 WHERE
LOW LEVEL SHEAR DIMINISHES CONSIDERABLY.

2. MORE UNFAVORABLE KINEMATIC GEOMETRY...LACK OF DISCRETE/SUPERCELL
CONVECTIVE MODE...AND RELATIVE WEAKNESS OF BUOYANCY...CHARACTERIZE
INNER SWRN QUADRANT OF HURRICANE CIRCULATION THAT WILL SPREAD ACROSS
IMMEDIATE RIO GRANDE VALLEY REGION FROM BRO TO MFE AREAS. THIS
REGIME SHOULD RESULT IN LOWER TORNADO POTENTIAL THERE...RELATIVE TO
LOCATIONS ON OTHER SIDE OF EYE.

_________________
Tim
Tulsa, OK


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 Post subject: Hurricane Dolly Moves Inland and Tulsa Heat
PostPosted: Wed Jul 23, 2008 3:20 pm 
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Joined: Sun Apr 06, 2008 7:42 pm
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Location: Tulsa, OK
A large portion of Oklahoma remains under a Excessive Heat Warning.

Dolly was classified a category 1 hurricane with sustained winds of 95 mph when it hit the Texas coast. Looks like it's moving inland to the west. Stay tuned.

_________________
Tim
Tulsa, OK


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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Dolly and Tulsa Heat
PostPosted: Wed Jul 23, 2008 7:40 pm 
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Joined: Sun Apr 06, 2008 7:42 pm
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Location: Tulsa, OK
The Excessive Heat Warning for Tulsa has been extended until 7:00 pm tomorrow and all indications are that tomorrow will be another hot one. Tomorrow's forecast is mostly sunny, with a high near 99. Heat index values as high as 106. South wind between 7 and 14 mph. Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. South wind between 9 and 14 mph.

_________________
Tim
Tulsa, OK


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