Discussion Forums

TO: PUBLIC SAFETY AGENCIES
FM: NWS TULSA OPERATIONS
RE: WEATHER THREAT POTENTIAL
RELEASED...459 AM CDT WED JUL 9 2008

ALERT LEVEL...9

SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A NEARLY STATIONARY SURFACE BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS FAIRLY HIGH... WHILE RAINFALL RATES HAVE GENERALLY NOT BEEN SUBSTANTIAL. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE SOME THIS MORNING AS THE BOUNDARY SINKS SLOWLY SOUTHWARD. LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH HEAVIER TRAINING AREAS OF RAINFALL. WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY PRESENT... THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A CELL OR TWO TO BRIEFLY BECOME STRONG ENOUGH TO APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL REMAIN IN THE REGION AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS HIGH. AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.