Joined: Sun Apr 06, 2008 7:42 pm Posts: 61 Location: Tulsa, OK
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Status: Alert
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 520 AM CDT FRI APR 25 2008
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261000- ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK- CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK- LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK- OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK- PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK- WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR- 520 AM CDT FRI APR 25 2008
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...ELEVATED. AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS . ONSET...AFTER 8 AM.
AREA AT GREATEST RISK...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS... AFTER 10 AM.
DISCUSSION... A SURFACE COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED ACROSS ACROSS NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST THIS MORNING. WHILE A STRONG INVERSION IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE...THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AFTER SUNRISE AS THE INVERSION WEAKENS ONCE HEATING COMMENCES. WHILE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES APPEAR LOWEST ACROSS THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE REGION...A HIGHER CONDITIONAL SEVERE PROBABILITY EXISTS AS AMPLE ELEVATED AND SURFACE INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET OF 50 TO 60 KNOTS WILL BE IN PLACE THIS MORNING. AS THE FRONT MOVES FURTHER INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY AFTERNOON...AREAL COVERAGE ALONG THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS THE INVERSION ERODES AND SURFACE BASE INSTABILITY BECOMES MAXIMIZED. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ANY SEVERE STORMS TODAY. ANY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST ONCE FRONTAL PASSAGE OCCURS. DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL FILTER ACROSS ALL OF THE AREA BY TONIGHT.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.
_________________ Tim Tulsa, OK
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